Franklin Templeton Excessive Risk of Fallout of a Black Swan Event Shagun Thukral Dipasha Sharma Madhvi Sethi
Evaluation of Alternatives
“Shagun, can you summarize for me the essay you wrote earlier?” “Sure, that’s an excellent way to express it!” “Franklin Templeton’s strategy of diversifying into emerging markets is quite sound.” “It certainly does seem that they are taking a risk when they go into unfamiliar territories, but they’ve made a great start.” “Yes, but the fallout could be significant and potentially catastrophic for the firm and its clients. The world is still in
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I was assigned this case study in the beginning of my internship with Franklin Templeton Investments. The case study provided a unique research and insights into the possible outcomes of a hypothetical black swan event. In this hypothetical scenario, a sudden inflation surge and a severe oil price shock have significant economic implications on global markets. I have prepared a comprehensive report and recommendations for the case. – Shagun Thukral (24 years, MBA, Pune Institute of Management): In the case scenario,
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When I decided to pursue finance as a career, I enrolled for finance subjects like accounting, actuarial science, and investment analysis. These courses provided me with a foundation to explore various aspects of finance. However, I did not know about the concept of excessive risk of a black swan event. A black swan is a rare event that does not conform to conventional wisdom, such as a hurricane, a tornado or a pandemic. It is said to have unexpected or unpredictable effects, and its occurrence is thought to be random and
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The financial world is highly dynamic and volatile, with a lot of uncertainties like Black Swan events. One such Black Swan event is the financial crisis that occurred in 2008, which had a significant impact on Franklin Templeton’s portfolios. Shagun Thukral, a graduate in finance, and Madhvi Sethi, a MBA, from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, have compiled the material below that provides insights into Franklin Templeton’s response to the crisis and the lessons that can be
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Shagun, my good friend and fellow researcher at Franklin Templeton, has been writing about this phenomenon in her research paper, the “Black Swan event: The emerging challenge of an invisible force of unpredictable nature”. In her paper, she argues that this phenomenon was not mentioned in any of the texts I have studied and has no empirical research to support it. Her argument is that a Black Swan event refers to a random, unforeseeable event that happens unexpectedly and leads to significant market instability. She goes on to analyze three
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Shagun was an entrepreneur. Her startup, a new online marketing platform, had just received an investment of Rs.10 crore from a prominent venture capital fund. you can try here Her startup was doing well, and people were talking about her. Her team had a new plan to grow by 50% within 1 year. Shagun’s team consisted of 30 people. However, the startup wasn’t doing as well as expected. Shagun and her team discussed ways to fix the problem. As her
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Black swan events occur once in a generation and the consequences are often catastrophic. Such an event, which is beyond our understanding, would disrupt the status quo and significantly impact the economy. Shagun, the chief analyst at Franklin Templeton, believes that our focus on the Black Swan event, in our analysis, is excessively risk of falling in the following event, which we term the Black Tiger event. The Black Tiger event is the occurrence of a scenario in which a market shock occurs, often in the absence of any
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“A black swan event occurs when the anticipated outcome of a given event turns out to be different from what was assumed,” stated a report by a financial institution. It’s like a hurricane in its intensity and size, not only the duration but also the frequency of the occurrence, that is not something that can be predicted. In my case study, I want to discuss how the failure of the world’s biggest bank, Bank of America, in 2008 had a global impact in terms of the economy. Bank of America, which was